- Elite universities have the brand, demand, endowment, quality reputation, and access to families that can afford to pay full tuition.
- Public flagships will survive if for no other reason that the majority of a state’s legislature usually attended the state’s flagship university or its land grant university.
- Four-and two-year public colleges that states choose to survive. This will be a complicated and often political process, but consolidation is likely to occur in most states. How many research universities does the average state need?
- Large online institutions will survive. Southern New Hampshire and Western Governors are the two largest universities in the U.S. in terms of enrolled students.
- Community colleges with online excellence and local employer partnerships will survive.
- Alternative education providers with employer partnerships may see the highest growth in enrollment among all these surviving groups. While there are some
- large alternative education providerslike Coursera and Udacity, I am not prepared to declare which ones might ultimately be the big winner(s).
What colleges have you attended?

